{"id":44541,"date":"2024-06-14T13:03:13","date_gmt":"2024-06-14T13:03:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.spragueenergy.com\/?p=44541"},"modified":"2024-06-14T13:03:18","modified_gmt":"2024-06-14T13:03:18","slug":"the-oil-market-traded-mostly-sideways-and-ended-slightly-higher-on-thursday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.spragueenergy.com\/fr\/the-oil-market-traded-mostly-sideways-and-ended-slightly-higher-on-thursday\/","title":{"rendered":"The Oil Market Traded Mostly Sideways and Ended Slightly Higher on Thursday"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Recap: <\/span><\/strong>The oil market traded mostly sideways and ended slightly higher, up 0.15% on the day,<br>as the market weighed the builds in crude and product stocks and expectations of slow Federal<br>Reserve rate cuts against the U.S. economic data showing an easing labor market and slowing<br>inflation. The market traded lower in overnight trading as it remained pressured following the<br>EIA\u2019s weekly petroleum stocks report on Wednesday and the bearish IEA report, which warned<br>of excess supply in the near future. The crude market continued to trend lower and posted a<br>low of $77.67. However, the market bounced off its low and retraced its earlier losses and<br>posted a high of $78.89 ahead of the close. The market was supported by hopes that the<br>Federal Reserve will cut rates in September, reinforced by data from the Labor Department<br>showing producer prices unexpectedly falling in May. The largest decline in prices at the<br>factory gate since October following the report on consumer prices on Wednesday showing<br>prices were unchanged in May for the first time in nearly two years. The July WTI contract<br>settled up 12 cents at $78.62 and the August Brent contract settled up 15 cents at $82.75. The<br>product markets ended the session higher, with the heating oil market settling up 4.6 cents at<br>$2.4868 and the RB market settling up 2.12 cents at $2.4156.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Technical Analysis:<\/span> <\/strong>On Friday, the oil market is still seen trending sideways as the market<br>weighs conflicting demand outlooks, hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve and the<br>unexpected builds reported in the oil inventory reports. The crude market is seen finding<br>resistance at its highs of $78.89, $79.32, $79.42, followed by $80.62 and $80.93. However,<br>support is seen at its low of $77.67, $77.22, $76.71, $75.90, $75.23 -$75.21, followed by<br>$75.09, $74.06, $72.82 and $72.48.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Fundamental News: <\/span><\/strong>OPEC\u2019s Secretary General, Hathaim Al Ghais, said OPEC does not see a<br>peak in oil demand in its long-term forecast and expects demand to increase to 116 million<br>bpd by 2045 and may be higher. He called the IEA report \u201cdangerous commentary, especially<br>for consumers, and will only lead to energy volatility on a potentially unprecedented scale.\u201d<br>He said similar narratives have been proven wrong previously. On Wednesday, the IEA said it<br>sees oil demand peaking by 2029, levelling off at around 106 million bpd towards the end of<br>the decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br>ANZ Research said it expects OPEC\u2019s supply policy to remain sensitive to oil market<br>fundamentals. It said if demand fails to grow as they expect, they are likely to delay the<br>phasing out of the group of eight\u2019s voluntary 2.2 million bpd cuts for oil. It said the likelihood<br>of oil prices surpassing $100\/barrel for a sustained period had diminished greatly. ANZ<br>Research said it maintains its 12-month oil price target of $95\/barrel. It said a combination of<br>improving market fundamentals, elevated geopolitical risks and a more positive economic<br>backdrop should lift the Brent crude price over $85\/barrel, a level it has failed to breach over<br>the past six weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br>Kpler shipping data is showing EU and UK diesel imports are on track to reach 768,000 b\/d in<br>June down from 1.22 million b\/d recorded in May.<br>The Russian government said Thursday it has extended its retaliatory measures against a price<br>cap on its oil imposed by Western countries until the end of 2024. The Russian government<br>has banned domestic oil exporters and custom bodies from adhering to Western -imposed<br>price caps on Russian crude oil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br>The Russian energy ministry said on Thursday that while its oil production totals exceed its<br>OPEC+ quota in May, it was still pledging to make up for this over production during the<br>compensation period until September 2025. It also said its overproduction levels would be<br>resolved in June. Russian officials though did not disclose any specific production totals for the<br>month though.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Early Market Call &#8211; as of 8:30 AM EDT<\/span><\/strong><br>WTI &#8211; July $78.90, up 28 cents<br>RBOB &#8211; July $2.4435, up 2.79 cents<br>HO &#8211; July $2.5208, up 3.4 cents<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Recap: The oil market traded mostly sideways and ended slightly higher, up 0.15% on the day,as the market weighed the builds in crude and product stocks and expectations of slow [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":44522,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"sfsi_plus_gutenberg_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_show_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_type":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_alignemt":"","sfsi_plus_gutenburg_max_per_row":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[21,191,23,20,1,190],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44541","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crude","category-delivered-fuel","category-gasoline","category-heating-oil","category-market-insights","category-wholesale-fuel"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.8 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - 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